Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety chief awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
“You Can See Everything”
2027 Academy Awards Predictions Commentary All Categories (Updated: Oct. 8, 2026): Lots of moving pieces as the season treads along.
The New York Film Festival gave the first set of eyes on Luca Guadagnino’s intense dramedy “Artificial,” which could be a major player for Neon, who picked it up after Amazon MGM Studios dumped it earlier in the year. The film could be a force in multiple categories including best picture and supporting actor for Andrew Garfield, who could be the big spoiler if the season breaks his way.
NYFF is about to conclude with Ava DuVernay’s documentary feature “14th,” which will have a new original song by Brittany Howard and Robert Glasper.
Other buzzy movies include Nathan Fielder and Lance Oppenheim’s “You Can See Everything,” which screened at NYFF and in Los Angeles, where it received a rapturous response. As the days continue, it’s looking like we could have our very first nonfiction movie nominated for best picture. Whether or not it makes the ultimate documentary feature shortlist will continue to plague pundits.
Entries for the Golden Globes continue to break around the industry. Mike Leigh’s “Tender Loving Care” will enter the comedy categories, along with Curry Barker’s “Obsession,” which has some on social media scratching their heads.
This week’s updates are below.
The Governors Awards, which will hand out honorary Oscars to Glenn Close and Ridley Scott, will take place Sunday, Nov. 15. Preliminary voting for the Oscars shortlist in 12 categories runs Dec. 7-11, with the shortlist announcement to follow Tuesday, Dec. 15. Following the close of the eligibility period on Dec. 31, 2026, nominations voting will run Jan. 11-15, 2027. The official Oscar nominations will be announced on Thursday, Jan. 21, 2027. The 99th Oscars will take place on Sunday, March 14, 2027 and will be hosted by Conan O’Brien. The ceremony airs live at 7 p.m. ET on ABC and in more than 200 territories worldwide from the Dolby Theatre at Ovation Hollywood.
Projected nomination leaders (films): “The Odyssey” (16); “Dune: Part Three” (11); “La Bola Negra” (10)
Projected nomination leaders (studios): Universal Pictures (17); A24 and Netflix (14); Warner Bros. (11)
*** = PREDICTED WINNER
(All predicted nominees listed below are in alphabetical order)
-
Best Picture
Image Credit: Neon “Artificial” (Neon)
“The Debut” (A24)
“Dune: Part Three” (Warner Bros.)
“I Play Rocky” (Amazon MGM Studios)
“The Invite” (A24)
“La Bola Negra” (Netflix)
“The Odyssey” (Universal Pictures) ***
“Project Hail Mary” (Amazon MGM Studios)
“Wild Horse Nine” (Searchlight Pictures)
“You Can See Everything” (A24) -
Directing
Image Credit: Searchlight Pictures Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo, “La Bola Negra” (Netflix)
Martin McDonagh, “Wild Horse Nine” (Searchlight Pictures)
Christopher Nolan, “The Odyssey” (Universal Pictures)
Denis Villeneuve, “Dune: Part Three” (Warner Bros.) ***
Olivia Wilde, “The Invite” (A24) -
Actor
Image Credit: Anthony Dickenson Matt Damon, “The Odyssey” (Universal Pictures)
John Malkovich, “Wild Horse Nine” (Searchlight Pictures) ***
Pedro Pascal, “Behemoth!” (Searchlight Pictures)
Andrew Scott, “Elsinore” (Focus Features)
John Turturro, “The Only Living Pickpocket in New York” (Sony Pictures Classics) -
Actress
Image Credit: Niko Tavernise Marion Bailey, “Tender Loving Care” (Bleecker Street)
Emily Blunt, “Disclosure Day” (Universal Pictures)
Julianne Moore, “The Debut” (A24) ***
Inde Navarrette, “Obsession” (Focus Features)
Olivia Wilde, “The Invite” (A24) -
Supporting Actor
Image Credit: A24 Andrew Garfield, “Artificial” (Neon) ***
Paul Giamatti, “The Debut” (A24)
Guitarricadelafuente, “La Bola Negra” (Netflix)
John Leguizamo, “The Odyssey” (Universal Pictures)
Sam Rockwell, “Wild Horse Nine” (Searchlight Pictures) -
Supporting Actress
Image Credit: Bleecker Street [Redacted], “You Can See Everything” (A24)
Penélope Cruz, “The Invite” (A24)
Anne Hathaway, “The Odyssey” (Universal Pictures) ***
Samantha Morton, “The Odyssey” (Universal Pictures)
Kate O’Flynn, “Tender Loving Care” (Bleecker Street) -
Original Screenplay
Image Credit: Amazon MGM Studios “Artificial” (Neon)
Simon Rich
“The Debut” (A24)
Jesse Eisenberg
“I Play Rocky” (Amazon MGM Studios)
Peter Gamble
“Tender Loving Care” (Bleecker Street)
Mike Leigh
“Wild Horse Nine” (Searchlight Pictures) ***
Martin McDonagh -
Adapted Screenplay
Image Credit: Jonathan Olley “Dune: Part Three” (Warner Bros.)
Brian K. Vaughan, Denis Villeneuve
“The Invite” (A24) ***
Rashida Jones and Will McCormack
“La Bola Negra” (Netflix)
Javier Ambrossi, Javier Calvo, Alberto Conejero
“The Odyssey” (Universal Pictures)
Christopher Nolan
“Project Hail Mary” (Amazon MGM Studios)
Drew Goddard -
Casting
Image Credit: Glen Wilson/Lionsgate “Being Heumann” (Apple Original Films)
Adam Caldwell and Bernard Telsey
“I Play Rocky” (Amazon MGM Studios)
Rick Montgomery
“La Bola Negra” (Netflix)
Eva Leira and Yolanda Serrano
“Michael” (Lionsgate)
Victoria Thomas
“The Odyssey” (Universal Pictures) ***
John Papsidera -
Animated Feature
Image Credit: ©Walt Disney Co./Courtesy Everett Collection “Forgotten Island” (DreamWorks Animation)
Joel Crawford, Januel Mercado and Mark Swift
“Ray Gunn” (Netflix)
Brad Bird, John Lasseter, Lisa Beroud, David Ellison and Dana Goldberg
“Tangles” (Independent Film Company)
Leah Nelson, Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Lauren Miller Rogen, Seth Rogen and Evan Goldberg
“Toy Story 5” (Pixar)
Andrew Stanton, Lindsey Collins and Jessica Choi
“Wildwood” (Laika) ***
Travis Knight and Sam Wilson -
Production Design
Image Credit: Netflix “Dune: Part Three” (Warner Bros.) ***
“The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth” (Netflix)
“La Bola Negra” (Netflix)
“The Odyssey” (Universal Pictures)
“Project Hail Mary” (Amazon MGM Studios) -
Cinematography
Image Credit: Universal “Dune: Part Three” (Warner Bros.)
“La Bola Negra” (Netflix)
“The Odyssey” (Universal Pictures) ***
“Project Hail Mary” (Amazon MGM Studios)
“Werwulf” (Focus Features) -
Costume Design
Image Credit: ©Focus Features/Courtesy Everett Collection “Dune: Part Three” (Warner Bros.) ***
“La Bola Negra” (Netflix)
“Michael” (Lionsgate)
“The Odyssey” (Universal Pictures)
“Sense and Sensibility” (Focus Features) -
Film Editing
Image Credit: A24 “Dune: Part Three” (Warner Bros.)
“The Invite” (A24)
“La Bola Negra” (Netflix)
“The Odyssey” (Universal Pictures) ***
“You Can See Everything” (A24) -
Makeup and Hairstyling
Image Credit: ©Warner Bros/Courtesy Everett Collection “Digger” (Warner Bros.)
“Dune: Part Three” (Warner Bros.) ***
“Michael” (Lionsgate)
“The Odyssey” (Universal Pictures)
“Werwulf” (Focus Features) -
Sound
Image Credit: Justin Lubin “Behemoth!” (Searchlight Pictures)
“Dune: Part Three” (Warner Bros.)
“Michael” (Lionsgate)
“The Odyssey” (Universal Pictures) ***
“Project Hail Mary” (Amazon MGM Studios) -
Visual Effects
Image Credit: Laika “Dune: Part Three” (Warner Bros.) ***
“Godzilla Minus Zero” (GKids)
“Project Hail Mary” (Amazon MGM Studios)
“Spider-Man: Brand New Day” (Sony Pictures)
“Wildwood” (Laika) -
Original Score
Image Credit: Warner Bros. “Artificial” (Neon)
Damon Albarn
“Behemoth!” (Searchlight Pictures)
The Behemoth! Collective
“Dune: Part Three” (Warner Bros.)
Hans Zimmer
“The Odyssey” (Universal Pictures) ***
Ludwig Göransson
“Wildwood” (Laika)
Dario Marianelli -
Original Song
Image Credit: Getty “Your God is Sleeping” from “Behemoth!” (Searchlight Pictures)
“By Any Means” from “By Any Means” (Paramount Pictures)
“This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn’t Spit Me Out)” from “The Debut” (A24) ***
“Let Me Sell You a Dream” from “Musk” (Bleecker Street)
“I Knew It, I Knew You” from “Toy Story 5” (Pixar) -
Documentary Feature
Image Credit: Courtesy MK2 “14th” (Netflix)
“Musk” (Bleecker Street)
“Naza” (The Guardian and MK2) ***
“Once Upon a Time in Harlem” (Neon)
“Rehearsals for a Revolution” (Sony Pictures Classics) -
International Feature
Image Credit: Neon “Fjord” from Romania (Neon)
Dir. Cristian Mingui
“La Bola Negra” from Spain (Netflix) ***
Dir. Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo
“Minotaur” from France (Mubi)
dir. Andrey Zvyagintsev
“Possible Love” from South Korea (Netflix)
dir. Lee Chang-dong
“Woman Unknown” from Denmark
dir. May el-ToukhyOscar category page with rankings>>>